Well, the main story lines for weather this week will be about Tropical Storm Debby and the heat that has been and will continue to be in place across much of the country.
Debby formed over the weekend and is in the northern Gulf of Mexico, moving only very slowly toward the NE early in the week. Latest forecasts have Debby going towards north Florida, but also weakening due to wind shear and dry air, which is good news. What she will still bring is plenty of rain to Florida, and possibly too much in some spots (more on Debby below).
Elsewhere, minimal precipitation is expected across other parts of the country this week, as a heat wave keeps its grip on many locations. The heat will bring near or above 100-degree temps to the Southern Plains, the Southwest, parts of the Mountain West, the Southeast, and eventually the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley as well, later in the week.
Here are this week’s weather highlights:
- Isolated to scattered showers with some thunderstorms can be expected from NYC on up into New England on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by a nice couple of days later in the week, with moderate summer temperatures (LGA, EWR, ISP, HPN, PVD, BOS, BDL, MHT, and ALB).
- After thunderstorms and a cold front move through the BWI-DC-PHL areas on Monday, expect much improved conditions for Tuesday through Thursday, with rather comfortable temperatures as well. The next chance of precipitation looks to be about next weekend (PHL, BWI, IAD, and DCA).
- Tropical Storm Debby continues in the northern Gulf of Mexico. The good news is that the forecast has Debby remaining below hurricane strength through its life cycle, and, in fact, the intensity is expected to remain unchanged or even decrease some through the week. The forecast track takes Debby into the far north Florida peninsula on or about Thursday. While there will be gusty winds at times, occasionally reaching 30-35 knots at some Florida stations over the next few days, overall the storm is not expected to cause a large scale disruption. That said, there is the threat for isolated tornadoes across the Florida peninsula, as well as the potential for heavy rain accumulation over the course of the week (TPA, MCO, SRQ, and JAX).
- Some isolated afternoon thunderstorms are possible in the Southeast and South Plains this week, but they will be few and far between where they do occur, as temps remain quite hot across these areas (BNA, LIT, MEM, BHM, HSV, MSY, JAN, HOU, CRP, HRL, AUS, SAT, DAL, OKC, and TUL).
- Hot temperatures will also be frequent in the west and the central Plains, eventually spreading towards the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley areas later in the week (DEN, SLC, PHX, TUS, LAS, AMA, LBB, MAF, ICT, MCI, OMA, DSM, MDW, STL, BKG, IND, CMH, DAY, and SDF).